Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.037512 0.040544 0.043728 0.047327 0.051288 0.055519 0.060390
2025-03-16 0.031917 0.036080 0.040693 0.046205 0.052636 0.059935 0.068887
2025-03-23 0.028448 0.033252 0.038795 0.045704 0.054142 0.064185 0.077149
2025-03-30 0.025893 0.031083 0.037268 0.045249 0.055368 0.067901 0.084797
2025-04-06 0.023648 0.029018 0.035590 0.044319 0.055745 0.070384 0.090876
2025-04-13 0.022411 0.028060 0.035148 0.044817 0.057859 0.075118 0.100167
2025-04-20 0.021154 0.026957 0.034398 0.044793 0.059192 0.078813 0.108243
2025-04-27 0.020291 0.026289 0.034140 0.045359 0.061301 0.083646 0.118264
2025-05-04 0.019239 0.025289 0.033351 0.045105 0.062192 0.086754 0.125935
2025-05-11 0.018331 0.024421 0.032674 0.044935 0.063146 0.089963 0.133962
2025-05-18 0.017477 0.023574 0.031966 0.044653 0.063879 0.092845 0.141657
2025-05-25 0.016760 0.022878 0.031423 0.044559 0.064859 0.096129 0.150232
2025-06-01 0.015913 0.021958 0.030518 0.043883 0.064914 0.097990 0.156656
2025-06-08 0.015073 0.021008 0.029518 0.042999 0.064576 0.099178 0.162014
2025-06-15 0.014423 0.020305 0.028846 0.042573 0.064924 0.101486 0.169506
2025-06-22 0.013827 0.019652 0.028212 0.042163 0.065255 0.103763 0.177110
2025-06-29 0.013163 0.018865 0.027335 0.041310 0.064786 0.104616 0.182111
2025-07-06 0.012864 0.018620 0.027276 0.041769 0.066542 0.109448 0.195095
2025-07-13 0.012472 0.018211 0.026940 0.041747 0.067460 0.112838 0.205569
2025-07-20 0.012226 0.018018 0.026933 0.042266 0.069347 0.118107 0.220314
2025-07-27 0.011829 0.017571 0.026497 0.042033 0.069870 0.120868 0.230147
2025-08-03 0.011472 0.017172 0.026119 0.041877 0.070515 0.123891 0.240815
2025-08-10 0.011113 0.016756 0.025697 0.041618 0.070947 0.126521 0.250876